Welcome to the Sports Shark Analytics! If you are not a member, come give us a try and use our promo code SHARKS30 for 30% off your first payment.  This article is  intended to give you some insights  and lineup advice for Sunday’s main  NFL slate.

 

BETTING ODDS

 

Highest Game Totals:
JAX@KC – 51
CLE@MIA- 49
DET@CHI- 48

 

Highest  Team Totals:
Kansas City Chiefs, 30.5
Miami Dolphins 26.5
Chicago Bears 25.5
Dallas Cowboys , 23.5
Las Vegas Raiders , 23.5

 

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs

 

• Both sides are coming off come back wins from last week where both QBs had to push the pace in the 2nd half. The Chiefs come into this game as 9.5 favorites but both sides are very much in play.

 

• With Josh Allen most likely being out this week, that leaves Pat Mahomes as the top raw point projection at the QB spot on both sites this week. This match up is great also on paper as the Jaguars are ranked 27th in DVOA in pass defense. Mahomes is priced up but he has legit 300 yards + 3 TD upside in this match up.

 

• Travis Kelce is his top target guy as he leads the team in target share and by a wide margin followed by JuJu Smith. In GPPs I love stacking up the Chiefs this week as Kelce is an elite option at the TE spot that is pretty weak this Sunday. If wanting to double stack the Chiefs side, then I would look at JuJu next followed by MVS. If Mecole Hardmen misses this game then Kadarius Toney would become a sneaky large field GPP option.

 

• The Jaguars side is very much in play as well as Lawrence has upside in this match up especially if they are trailing the majority of the game. Trevor also has rushing upside as well as he has averaged over 20 rushing yards in the past 5 games so far this season. At 5.4K on DK and 7K on FD he would be a cheap way to get exposure to this game.

 

• Christian Kirk is the preferred stacking option to go with Lawrence as he leads the team in target share and has a very solid floor. If not stacking Kirk with him or wanting to double stack then I would consider Zay Jones, Marvin Jones or Evan Engram (if active).

 

Overall Interest Level- Very High (9 out of 10)

Cleveland Browns @ Miami Dolphins

 

• This game has a 49 game total which has gone up since the opening line was at 46.5 earlier this week. This game should be close as well as Miami is favored by 3.5 points at home.

 

• Tyreek HIll is having a career year so far as he leads the league in receiving yards by a wide margin. The coaching staff is making it clear that they want to get him the ball every week at least 10+ times. His price has gone up but it is well worth it on both sites. Also Tua’s price has gone up as well at 8.1K on FD and 6.7K on DK. I have interest in this game for sure as this game has shootout potential.

 

• Jaylin Waddle and Mike Gesicki are in play as well if wanting to double stack the Dolphins side but they are behind Tyreek in target share by a solid margin. I am interested in just going with one of Hill/Waddle + Mike Gesicki as the TE spot is very weak.

 

• The Browns side does not interest me as much as far a full stack but I do like grabbing some shares of Amari Cooper or Nick Chubb as run backs to Tua stacks or as a secondary stacks with one of Hill/Waddle. What scares me the most about this game is if the Browns catch an early lead or have huge success on the ground we could see Chubb get almost 20+ carries here and own the time of possession.

 

Overall Interest Level- Average (5 out 10)

 

 

 

Indianapolis Colts @ Las Vegas Raiders

 

• Super low total here compared to the two games listed above but this game does have sneaky upside as it could possibly be a shootout. Las Vegas comes in as 7 point favorites at home with the game total around 41 in most sportsbooks.

 

• The Las Vegas  side is where I have the majority of my interest in this game as Derek Carr+ Devante Adams could really pop in this match up. Last week we finally saw them get on track for at least 1 half as Carr peppered Adams with 10 first half targets for 80+ yards and 2 TDs. The 2nd half was a total disaster as they ended up losing the game and Adams only saw 4 targets during the 2nd half. I like going right back to them again this week in hopes that they can put it together for a full game,

 

• Majority of my Carr+ Adams builds will either include a run back of Jonathan Taylor or Micheal Pittman Jr.  Taylor could have a big game here especially with Hines being traded away he should see the bulk of the carries and even get some targets out of the backfield. I know he has been bad this year but this is the lowest we probably will ever see Taylor at just 7.5K on DK and 7K on FD. Even Micheal Pittman is having a bad year compared to last year but Sam is finding a way to get the top WR the ball. Over the past 2 games that he started Pittman has seen at least 30% of the target share.

 

Overall Interest Level- High (7 out of 10)

 

 

 

Make sure to check out our lineup template on Sunday morning to see where we landed and how we are constructing our main lineups.

https://sportssharkanalytics.com/nfl/nfl-dfs-line-up/

 

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