Weather Concerns
We have to keep an eye on TOR@BOS as there is a chance for a delay or PPD as the game will start dry but may end wet.
Top Pitchers To Target
Charlie Morton- He projects well tonight in our model as he leads our model in the Sharks Rating section. Morton has pitched well over the last month for the Braves and this is a big series for both teams. We have the Mets implied total at 4.04 runs which is the 3rd lowest on the slate so this is also a great run prevention spot for Morton tonight.
Kenta Maeda- When you consider price and upside tonight Maeda is the top option on both sites. He projects well in our model and also he should have lots of run support tonight as the Twins are projected to score a decent amount of runs, The Twins are large favorites and he has been pitching well of late
Lance McCullers Jr.- The Mariners got to Garcia in the 4th inning last night and tagged him for 4 earned runs but tonight McCullers is projected to have way more success than Garcia. McCullers is having the best season of his career and the Mariners have the second highest K% over the last month. McCullers is graded out as one of the safest options tonight on both sites.
Other Pitchers To Consider
Shane McClanahan
Chris Paddack
Sandy Alcantara
Top Stacks To Consider
With this being a 15 game slate I want to give you more high-risk high reward stacks to consider tonight
Miami Marlins- Our Model is in LOVE with the Marlins tonight as they lead the way in projected runs scored and also projected home runs. They get a HUGE park upgrade going into Camden Yards and also they get to use a DH as well. Spencer Watskins basics stats may look as if he has had some above average starts but his advanced say other wise as he has allowed only one home run in his career but his ground ball rate is under 30%. He is due for negative regression and tonight may be the night! Adam Duvall leads our model with a Sharks Rating over 30 pts. Fire up the Marlins on both sites with confidence.
Cincinnati Reds- Alzolay has some very interesting splits – he allows a .363 ISO and .405 wOBA to lefties but against righties he is much better with an ISO rate under 200. With this being said we love the lefties tonight as they have the highest projected chance to have success against Alzolay. Jesse Winker and Joey Votto lead the way but don’t forget about Tyler Naquin, Shogo Akiyama and Tyler Stephenson.
Other Stacks To Consider
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays ( Watch Weather)
Make sure to check out our lineup template and other data models to help with lineup construction!