Weather Concerns
Not much weather concerns today but keep an eye on NYM@NYY and TB@TOR as they have the highest chance of PPD
Top Stacks For Today
Miami Marlins– Drew Smyly is on the mound for the Braves tonight so that’s great for right handed hitters against him as he has a very large platoon split. The righties will benefit from him with his 42% fly ball and 45% hard hit rate. Adam Duvall, Garrett Cooper, Starling Marte,and Jesus Aguilar are all in play tonight!! Fire them up with confidence on both sites as a low owned stack tonight with a very high ceiling.
Kansas City Royals– J.A Happ has shown some progression over his past 3 starts but he is still a lefty that gives up a lot of hard contact to righties. The Royals bring a lot of value tonight in their lineup on both sites and are firmly in play as a 4 or 5 man stack. I would prioritize the righites tonight Salvador Perez, Carlos Santana, Jorge Soler, Hunter Dozier and Whit Merrifield
St.Louis Cardinals- The Cardinals slate-high implied team total will garner a lot of ownership behind them but they are in play on both sites especially in cash games. They are possibly a nice fade in GPPs for the stacks mentioned above.
Other Stacks to Consider
Tampa Bay Rays
Colorado Rockies
Cincy Reds
Top Pitchers For Today
Eduardo Rodriguez- Paying in the mid range for pitching tonight is my ideal way to build. The top arms have some concerns and their matchups or not the best. Rodriguez gets a nice matchup going into Oakland and is getting a big park upgrade. The As strikeout at about league average versus lefties so this matchup is very exploitable. We have him projected for 1.38 K/IP and the As implied run total under 4 runs. He leads our model tonight with a “Shark Rating” of 13.8
Logan Gilbert– He started his rookie campaign a little shaky but he has turned things around over the past month and has shown plenty of upside. Tonight he gets a matchup against a strikeout heavy Texas team that is slumping over the past month. He gives us solid value tonight at under 7k on both sites. In our Model he ranks 2nd in ” Shark Rating” with a score of 11.8
Lance Lynn– Once again we recommend spending in the mid/low range tonight for pitching but if spending up for a pitcher tonight we recommend Lance over Max as his matchup is a lot easier on paper. The Tigers are a strikeout heavy team especially against right handers so Lynn should have a productive outing tonight.
Other Pitchers to Consider
JT Brubaker
Alex Wood
Make sure you check out our models and lineup templates closer to lock time to get an edge with roster construction.
