Weather Concerns
No PPD risk tonight as majority of the games are clear of rain. We do see a boost Kansas City as the wind is blowing out a significant amount. Boost to hitters on both sides of this game,
Top Pitchers To Target
Corbin Burnes- One of the hottest pitchers in baseball over the last month as he has only giving up 3 runs over the whole month. Very beatable matchup tonight for Burnes as he White Sox has the 2nd lowest implied team total on the slate tonight in our model. We also have him projected for a 1.57 strikeouts per inning.
Carlos Rodon- He has had at least 8 or more strikeouts in each start he’s made since May 15th. Also the Brewers do have one of the highest K% in baseball, and the Brewers have a low 3.72 run implied total.
Framber Valdez- Ranks well in our model and is a great guy to use as a pivot off one of the guys mentioned above or as a pairing on Draftkings. The Astros are large favorites so we do expect Valdez to have a good bit of run support.
Other Pitchers To Consider
Luis Castillo
Hyun-Jin Ryu
Top Stacks To Consider
Detroit Tigers- Carlos Hernández has struggled with hard contact his whole career as his numbers are bad against left handed batters and right handed batters. With the wind blowing out tonight we expect a decent amount of these balls to fly pretty deep tonight. We them projected for 5.31 runs tonight which is a half point higher than Vegas. Fire up the Tigers on both sites as a great value stack.
Tampa Bay Rays- J.C. Mejia is absolutely terrible against left handed batters this year as his numbers are .266 ISO, .409 wOBA which is one of the worst in the league Lefties are the guys to target today but don’t forget about Nelson Cruz and Mike Zunnio as they are righties with a ton of power.
Houston Astros- One of my favorite tournament stacks of the night as they will be overlooked by the public due to their moderate implied total. Our model is much higher on them as we have them projected for .33 points more than Vegas. The Left handed batters are the ones we want to target the most but we also love them as a full stack as well.
Other Stacks To Target
Kansas City Royals
Make sure to check out our lineup template for roster construction tips and also our other data models.
