Weather Concerns
We have a few games that could be delayed today due to rain in the area. NYM@PIT, TEX@TOR, and MIL@CIN are the games we need to watch closely towards lock time.
Top Pitchers To Target
Charlie Morton- Before the all star break started Morton was pitching at a very high level. He averaged around 23 Draftkings points in his last 5 starts and was really in rhythm. Coming off the break he gets a matchup against his former team in the Rays and a matchup that is pretty good on paper. He is the highest rated pitcher in our model on both sites and someone we recommend to have plenty shares of tonight.
Robbie Ray- Texas is one of the worst teams in the league against left handed pitching. Robbie Ray has elite strikeout upside tonight in this matchup and vegas backs this up with his K prop over 7.5. The Blue Jays should give him a lot of run support as well as Vegas has them as -230 favorites. Ray is a very good spend up option on both sites tonight.
Danny Duffy– If you are looking for a value cheap play tonight Duffy is that guy. He gets a nice matchup at home against the Orioles. At 6.8K on Fanduel and 7.0K on Draftkings he is a great source of value that will allow you to jam in more expensive bats.
Other Pitchers To Consider
Chris Bassitt
Andrew Heaney
Top Stacks to Consider
LA Dodgers– They are projected to score 7+ runs in our model tonight and they lead the slate by a pretty big margin. Senzatela has pitched better his last four starts and has managed to pitch deep into games and relatively limit damage recently. I wouldn’t look to much into this though as it came against the Diamondbacks, Cardinals, and Brewers twice. These are three of the bottom-ranking offenses in baseball in terms of team batting. We expect a lot of production for the Dodgers tonight and everyone is in play
San Diego Padres- As a team they get a huge park upgrade going into Nationals Park as they is one of the best hitter parks in the league. Erick Fedde has struggled with hard contact all year long especially to left handed hitters. The Padres are ranked 2nd our model in projected runs tonight and 3rd in projected hits. They are a great team to mini stack to pair with the Dodgers.
Other Stacks To Consider
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
