MLB Bets

Single Game Bets

Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs OVER 3.0 (-105)- At time this Arizona team has had trouble scoring runs. Tonight won’t be one of them. Vegas is doing this team an injustice on their run line. We have their expected run total to be around 4 runs while the line is at 3. Even with the greatest variance of team totals tonight, we included all variables into selecting this bet. Alex Wood of the Giants is a good pitcher, but thrives by getting run support, instead of complete domination on the mound. Expect the Diamondbacks to compete in this game.

Cincinnati Reds ML (EVEN)- According to Vegas, the favorites are the Atlanta Braves in this matchup. What we have shown in our models, is completely different. We have the Reds winning the battle at the plate for starters. The reds come in with a higher amount of expected hits, homeruns, and total runs. Then after we analyze the pitching, the decision is certainly made. Drew Smyly of the Braves post a 4.71 ERA at home, versus Sonny Gray posting an ERA of 3.00 on the road. This is going to be an entertaining game to watch as the Sharks get paid.

Baltimore Orioles Total Runs OVER 4.5 (-105)- We have an interesting matchup against the Tigers and Orioles. In the past, I have praised Casey Mize on his ability to be perform at a high level in the right matchup. Tonight is not one of those. We agree with Vegas that this will be a high scoring game. Where we have leverage is that we are showing Baltimore being the recipient of those runs. Mullins and Mancini have the ability to jump on opposing pitchers in a hurry. Tonight we get that in this matchup as we predict the Orioles light up the scoreboard.

Parlay 4 leg (+584)

• ARI Diamondbacks Total Runs OVER 2.5
• Cincy Reds Total Runs OVER 4.0
• BAL/DET OVER 9.0
• STL Cardinals ML