Weather Concerns
We have to watch one game tonight which is CHC@COL as there are some rain concerns in this game. We will update in discord if its worth fading or not.
Top Pitchers To Target
Zack Wheeler– Last time in this spot Wheeler had an ok day in which he pitching 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. He ran into some bad luck as a few soft hit balls turn into singles and he got into some trouble in a few innings. I plan to go right back to him tonight as this matchup is just way to good even though he did not have much success last time out. He leads our model in sharks rating and projected strikeouts tonight. Fire him up with confidence on both sites.
Taijuan Walker– His last couple starts have not been the best but he gets a great bounce back matchup tonight against the Marlins tonight. The Marlins did have success against Megill last night but I don’t expect the same tonight as Walker’s fastball velocity is one of the best in the league. The Marlins implied run total is the second lowest in our model tonight and we have Walker projected for almost 6 strikeouts. Great SP2 option on Draftkings and a pivot off Wheeler on Fanduel.
Dylan Cease- A mid range option that possibly will get overlooked due to his recent struggles. He projects well on both sites and actually has the best strikeout upside on the slate. I love targeting him in tournaments.
Other Pitchers To Target
Jordan Lyles ( Great source of value on Draftkings as SP2)
Lucas Gill (Great source of value on Draftkings as SP2)
Tyler Mahle ( Overpriced on Draftkings but a good price on Fanduel)
Top Stacks To Target
Atlanta Braves- With the addition to Soler and Duvall the Braves lineup against lefties is one of the best in the league now. I expect fireworks from the Braves tonight against Lester as he will face up 7 righties and these guys have some serious power against left handed pitchers. We are higher on the Braves tonight than Vegas we project them to score more than 5 runs and they are projected for 8.75 hits as a team. I love this low owned stack tonight on both sites.
Boston Red Sox– They lead our model in projected hits as they are in a good spot against Wily Peralta. At the time of this writing we are still waiting on a confirmed lineup but if the projected lineup is accurate then I expect a great day from the Red Sox!
Seattle Mariners- We were on the Mariners last night and they did us well as they scored over 8 runs. We are once again higher on the Mariners than the public and they are a great stack to look at for value on both sites.
Notice I did not mention the game in Coors Field as I plan to fade this game for two reasons. One is the unknown weather and also because they do not project well in our model. Same can be said for the Yankees also but instead of full stacking the Yankees (4 or 5 man stacks) I plan to just target power one offs or do a mini stack at the most.
Other Stacks To Consider
Los Angeles Dodgers ( Late night Hammer)
Toronto Blue Jays ( Power one offs and mini stacks)
Cleveland Indians ( sneaky upside against lefties)
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